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Weekly Initial Unemployment Claims decrease to 228,000; Major Revisions to Seasonal Factors


NOTE: This release has “revisions to the historical series for CY 2018-2022 for both initial claims and continued claims”. And “Beginning with the Unemployment Insurance (UI) Weekly Claims News Release issued Thursday, April 6, 2023, the methodology used to seasonally adjust the national initial claims and continued claims reflects a change in the estimation of the models.”

The DOL reported:

In the week ending April 1, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 228,000, a decrease of 18,000
from the previous week’s revised level. The previous week’s level was revised up by 48,000 from 198,000 to 246,000.
The 4-week moving average was 237,750, a decrease of 4,250 from the previous week’s revised average. The previous
week’s average was revised up by 43,750 from 198,250 to 242,000.
emphasis addedThe following graph shows the 4-week moving average of weekly claims since 1971.

Click on graph for larger image.

The dashed line on the graph is the current 4-week average. The four-week average of weekly unemployment claims decreased to 237,750.

The previous week was revised up.

Weekly claims were well above the consensus forecast.

Thursday: Unemployment Claims

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