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Wednesday: Trade Deficit, Beige Book


• At 7:00 AM ET, The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

• At 8:30 AM, Trade Balance report for July from the Census Bureau. The consensus is for the U.S. trade deficit to be $70.5 billion in July, from $79.6 billion in June.

• At At 12:35 PM, Speech, Fed Vice Chair Brainard, Economic Outlook and Monetary Policy, At The Clearing House and Bank Policy Institute Annual Conference, New York, N.Y.

• At 2:00 PM, the Federal Reserve Beige Book, an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts.

On COVID (focus on hospitalizations and deaths):

COVID Metrics  NowWeek
AgoGoal New Cases per Day269,82888,606≤5,0001 Hospitalized226,07232,120≤3,0001 Deaths per Day2342423≤501 1my goals to stop daily posts,
27-day average for Cases, Currently Hospitalized, and Deaths
🚩 Increasing 7-day average week-over-week for Cases, Hospitalized, and Deaths
✅ Goal met.
Click on graph for larger image.

This graph shows the daily (columns) and 7-day average (line) of deaths reported.

Average daily deaths bottomed in July 2021 at 214 per day.

Lawler: Are “National” Home Prices Already Falling?

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